Piero Cipollone: The new energy shock: economic scenarios and policy implications
Mixed signals
≡MIXED
Plays out—·Conviction—·Expected impact—
How to read this
Plays out — when the earliest effect is expected to hit the market. Shorter = more urgent.
Conviction — the model's average confidence across every mechanism and ripple. 0% = guessing, 100% = certain. An average, so a single high-confidence path can be buried.
Expected impact — average size of the expected moves. 0% = noise, 100% = outsized. Also an average.
Conflicts — instruments where signals from different asset classes disagree. Tap the chip to see which ones.
Cross-asset· What’s affected
16 INSTRUMENTS · TAP TO EXPAND
InstrumentTypeDir24h %Why it movesHorizonConviction!